Equity markets witnessed broad-based selling pressure on Friday following the IMD's monsoon forecasts of 90% of the long-period average (LPA), raising concerns among investors. The prospect of deficient rainfall, coupled with the increasing likelihood of an El Niño weather pattern, has heightened fears of elevated food inflation in the coming months. However, the downside risk appears partially mitigated by the recent moderation in crude oil prices and bond yields. Additionally, global sentiment remains supported by expectations of a potential diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran, which has contributed to a rally in international markets.
Analysts say that in the near term, investor attention is expected to shift toward key domestic triggers, particularly the upcoming RBI monetary policy decision and GDP data release, which will provide further insights into the inflation trajectory and overall economic momentum.
Here are two stocks to buy on Monday
1) YES Bank - Buy | CMP: Rs 23.22 | Stop loss: Rs 22.5 | Target: Rs 25
Yes Bank shows strong bullish momentum as the price breaks decisively above the key horizontal resistance level at Rs 22.02. This breakout is supported by a noticeable volume expansion, confirming genuine market participation. The price is trading cleanly above the short- and long-term EMAs, which are fanning out in a bullish alignment, while the RSI rises above 60, signalling accelerating upward strength toward the descending trendline.
2) NBCC - BUY | CMP: Rs 100.3 | SL - Rs 95 | Target - Rs 110
NBCC (India) Limited exhibits a strong bullish reversal as price breaks above multiple short-term EMAs and tests the long-term blue EMA near 101.30. This upward shift is backed by a notable volume surge, indicating a clear influx of buyers at these levels. Meanwhile, the RSI has crossed above the 60 threshold, signalling accelerating positive momentum and confirming a strong structural turnaround from the recent bottom
(Virat Jagad is Sr Technical Research Analyst at Bonanza Portfolio)
